Monday, September 30, 2013

monday

Ireland
Shelbourne - Drogheda
pick: 1
odds: 3.50 (ladbrokes) ; 3.28 (pinnacle)

FT 2-2 pick lost (shelbourne was leading 2-0 :@ :@ )

monday is day for suprises in betting.

4 rounds till end of season, Shelbourne in must win situation.

Shelbourne is last on table with 20 points and 1 match less.
OverallMPWDLGoalsPts
1.St. Patricks29197348:1464
2.Sligo29178448:1859
3.Dundalk29184745:2958
4.Derry City281531047:3448
5.Shamrock291112635:2545
6.Cork City291161238:4139
7.Limerick29991136:3936
8.Drogheda297121039:4033
9.Bohemians29771526:4328
10.UC Dublin29751740:6426
11.Bray29561831:6121
12.Shelbourne28551818:4320
11th placed team play relegation play off .  12th placed (last placed) relegate directly!

Shelbourne must win today,if they win they will have 23 points and they will be on 11th place (relegation play off!!!) , Bray who is currently on 11th place today will play vs strong Shamrock on away ground so probably they will lose.

Shelbourne today without: Crowley(mf 9/0), Leech(att 17/1), Shortall(df 20/1), Memery(df 15/0), Cronin(mf 12/0).

Drogheda play for nothing they are in middle of table with 33 points , they cant relegate and cant go up so this match is not so important for them. On 06/10 they have very important match in CUP , semi final match vs Dundalk!!! http://int.soccerway.com/national/ireland-republic/fai-cup/2013/s7916/final-stages/ probably coach today will rest some players.

Drogheda have problems in defence because 3 central defenders Prendergast(df 19/0), Alan Byrne(df 22/1), Grimes(df 26/0) are OUT!! O'Neill(att 17/4) and Cassidy(mf 26/0) are also unavailable!!

now take a look at their connections.
starting from 2006/07 they have around 20 FREE transfers between them!!
http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/shelbourne-fc-drogheda-united-fc/vergleich/basics_2295798.html

Shelbourne in squad have 6 ex Drogheda's players (Gannon , Crowley , Gartland ,Ryan and Connor).
Drogheda have 2 ex Shelbourne's players (that are Cassidy and Foley)


distance between them is just 43km (Dublin > Drogheda)

in all their matches there are suspecious moments like red cards,penalty kicks,mistakes in defence,late goals..

this season's first match was very suspecious
Drogheda 1-3 Shelbourne (ht 1-0) ... 1/2 http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/shelbourne-fc-drogheda-united-fc/index/spielbericht_2295748.html
here are highlights from that match - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyQT9ree3eM

take a look at goals from this their mutual match
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KZbayUsEsnY funny penalty kick and two other funny goals ...

Now Shelbourne desperate need points to stay in league, they will have home field advantage and I hope they will win this match
GL

Sunday, September 29, 2013

sunday free picks

Macedonia
Vardar - Napredok

pick: 1
odds: 1.32 (nordicbet) 

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/fyr-of-macedonia/first-league/vardar-napredok/OSjVPeKA/?
section=uo-odds

FT 3-0 pick WON

nice pick for some combo bet.

Vardar have some problems because they lost vs Shkendija 3-1 in previous round , also they relegate from CUP (metalurg kick them out). now last season's champion is 7th on table with 12points.

imo this season Vardar will be champion again because their sponsor is the city,major. Major is from VMRO (politic party who rule in macedonia) , FFM's president Ilco is on that position because he is in very good relationships with Nikola Gruevski (prime minister).

Nikola Gruevski(primer minister) control almost everything in this country, Vardar's members in board and staff are also part of VMRO , Ilco is also part of VMRO ... so Ilco always help to Vardar , he send good referees in derby matches to protect Vardar. + Ilco is ex Vardar's coach.

I wrote about Napredok and situation in their city.
Napredok in deep shit. it was expected because in their city Kicevo for first time on politic votes mayor is albanian!! and now Napredok (who is ethnical macedonian club) wont have support from city and major..


Makedonija GP - Shkendija
pick: DNB 2
odds: 1.82 (paf , unibet)
FT 1-1 pick void (shkendija miss 4 big chances :@ )

I just hope that they dont make some agreement before match! (something like; you give me cup , we give you points in league ...)

but I talk with few Shkendija's fans and they told me that with new boss in Shkendija there wont be anymore fixed matches.

before few days this two teams met in cup and Shkendija was better
Macedonian Cup 2013/2014
Makedonija GPShkendija0:24.203.441.7525.09.2013
ShkendijaMakedonija GP2:01.225.269.2218.09.2013
I watched both matches and I can say that Shkendija destroy them.. In first match Shkendija 2-0 Makedonija , makedonija gp was without shoot on goal 60 minutes (maybe even more) ...

Makedonija GP is new promoted team, they have very young and unexperienced squad .. they won most of points on home ground but that is because referees are on their side (i had informations that referees get big threats before match start so they must be on home side...)


Shkendija play very good football in last few rounds .. In league they won champion Vardar 3-1 , also they won two times Makedonija GP in cup.
I wrote about Shkendija and their new powerfull sponsor. They have now very good squad , midfield is very strong they have Polozhani (ex national team player) and Nedjipi(best playmaker in league) , they only need one good striker because Maznov(also ex national team player) is not in form.

quality,form and experience is on away side. this odds are value so i must try them.

Saturday, September 28, 2013

free pick saturday

Germany Oberliga
Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim 

pick: 1
odds: 2.00 (bet365 ; betvictor)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/germany/oberliga-rheinland-pfalz-saar/arminia-ludwigshafen-mechtersheim/bLZSbodf/
FT 1-0 pick WON


Arminia is better team + they have home field advantage.
quality and h2h is on home side.
Head-to-head: Arminia Ludwigshafen - Mechtersheim
Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar 2012/2013
MechtersheimArminia Ludwigshafen0:32.653.512.2223.03.2013
Arminia LudwigshafenMechtersheim3:01.633.774.2522.09.2012
Oberliga Sudwest 2011/2012
MechtersheimArminia Ludwigshafen0:22.823.292.1613.04.2012
Arminia LudwigshafenMechtersheim3:12.053.312.9901.10.2011
Arminia is very good on home ground , this season 3w-2d-0l (12:1) , last season on home ground 8w-4d-5l (in last 4 home matches last season they gave points to those teams which need....). No missings in home side.

Mechtersheim is average team.many important players are unavailable for this match (some of them first team players...) , guests will be very weakned for this match so I expect home win here.
http://www.tusmechtersheim1914.de/oberliga/vorberichte.html read this!


and If I understood good from their facebook page they played some match before few days on extra times .. probably some players are tired after that match ..

saturday missing infos

Scotland Premier League
Hearts - Dundee Utd

Hearts is full. club have many financial problems. hearts played cup match before 4 days (extra times + penalties ... players are little tired)
Dundee without Gavin Gunning(df 2/0) and Chris Erskine(mf 4/0). Mackay-Steven(mf 6/2) and Brian Graham(att 5/0) are doubtful

Kilmarnock - Celtic

Kilmarnock miss Sammy Clingan(mf 0/0) and Jeroen Tesselaar(df 7/0)
Celtic with important match in champions league vs Barcelona. today without James Forrest(mf 2/1), Beram Kayal(mf 3/0) and Joe Ledley(mf 5/0)

Inverness - Hibernian

Inverness is full,they play very good this season.
Hibernian sold some important players, for this match out are; Tim Clancy(df 0/0), Paul Cairney(mf 0/0), Daniel Handling(att 4/0) and Alex Harris(mf 1/0) [not important players].

Motherwell - Ross County
Motherwell miss defender Kerr(df 2/0)
Ross County without Scott Boyd(df 3/0), Marc Klok(mf 0/0), Kevin Luckassen(att 4/0), Alex Cooper(mf 1/0) and Orhan Mustafi(mf 4/0)


Scotland 2
Alloa - Hamilton

alloa without James Creaney(df 5/0) and Eddie Ferns(mf 2/1)
Hamilton miss Jonathan Routledge(mf 0/0) and Lee Kilday(df 1/0)

Queen of South - Dumbarton

hosts without Stephen McKenna(mf 5/0) and Paul Burns(mf 3/0). Mitchell(df 5/0) and Russel(att 6/3 top scorer) are questionable
Dumbarton is full.


England League Two
Hartlepool - Oxford

Hartlepool without Walker(mf 6/0).
Oxford without Crocombe(gk 0/0),Brown(gk 0/0),Wright(df 6/0),Whing(df 8/0),Meades(df 0/0),Constable(att6/2) and Kitson(att 7/1)

Newport - Torquay

Newport without Anthony(df 1/0),Sandell(df 4/1),Minshull(mf 6/0),Porter(att 2/0),Connor(att 0/0),Jolley(att 7/1)
Torquay still without Poke(first gk 0/0) - long term injured.


Germany 3 Liga
Saarbrucken - Darmstad

Saarbrucken without Lerandy(df 2/0),Fischer(df 10/1),Schafer(mf 1/0),Glockner(mf 1/0),Ziemer(Att 3/0) and Hayer(att 0/0)
Damrstad without Ratei(df 3/0) and Baier(mf 0/0)

Munster - Jahn Regensburg

Munster without SChmidt(df 7/0),Koopman(mf 0/0),Bischoff(mf 7/3),Piossek(mf 7/0) and Grashof(mf 0/0).
Jahn without Trettenbach(df 3/0),Short(mf 5/1) and Hague(mf 8/1)


Russia
Zenit - Spartak Moscow
Zenit without Malafeev(gk 0/0) and Zhevnov(gk 0/0).
Spartak without Gatagov(df 0/0),Bryzgalov(df 2/0),Bocchetti(df 5/0),Tasci(df 0/0),Costa(mf 9/1),Romulo(mf 0/0) and Barrios(att 2/0)

Wednesday, September 25, 2013

26/09 thursday picks

Greece Cup
Platanias - Apollon Smyrnis
pick: 1
odds: 1.80 (bwin) or 1.76 (188bet)
FT 1-1 pick lost

Platanias is good team, have lot of quality foreign players. Here is their squad for this match http://www.fcplatanias.gr/?p=5157

SQUAD Platanias: Aguilera(mf 5/0),Goundoulakis(mf 5/1), Dimitris(df 2/0), Zoumboulaki(df 1/0), Intzidis(df 4/0), Katai(att 0/0), bone, Moral(mf 4/0), Beljic(mf 5/0), Berio, Nazlidis(mf 5/3), Peristeridis((gk 0/0), Popovic(mf 4/0 young talent), Rafael(df 3/0), Silence, Stoller(mf 2/0), Tetteh(mf 4/0), Torres(att 4/0), Faisca(df 3/0), Fernandes(df 5/0).
i only dont see Georgallides(first gk 5/0) and Cerra(df 2/0) all others are in squad. very strong squad for this cup match!

Apollon is not interested in cup and coach decide to rest 5 first team players in this match. Rested will be Delizisis(df 5/0),Guela(mf 5/0),Kamara(mf 4/0),Tsilingiris(att 4/0),Petropoulos(att 5/2) , other two players Diamantis(df 0/0) and Chantzizisis(df 2/0) are also out.

Romania Cup
Steaua - Avantul Barsana

pick: over 4,5 goals
odds: 2.10 (tipico)

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/romania/romanian-cup-2013-2014/steaua-bucuresti-avantul-barsana-tMAQptZf/#over-under;2
FT 4-0 pick lost (Steaua killed them , Avantul's gk was simply amazing)


Steaua is best team in Romania football in last few years.
match will go tv in romania.

There were some predictions in mediums that Steaua today want to make a new record win (

Avantul is small club with small stadium. It is big sucsses for them to play vs team like Steaua, but their chances are 0.001% , steaua is 5 levels better team.

on last home league match Steaua easily scored 5 goals to Navodari. Now I expect minimum 5 goals vs weak team like Avantul , maybe Avantul will score 1 goal on counter attack but i dont believe.

I expect tomorrow goal fest
7-0 , 10-0 is possible results

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

wednesday picks (25/09)

(NEW INFOS ADDED,check down)
Romania
Pandurii - Farul Constanta
pick: Pandurii -1,75ah
odds: 1.80 (bet365)
FT 4-0 pick WON

strong team from best league vs average lower league team!

Pandurii with mixed team but even with mixed team they are still much better and more experienced team! They should easy won this match.

Farul Constanta today with B team!!! http://observator.ro/223010/farul-nu-se-incurca-cu-targu-jiu-223010.html
SQUAD: Vl. Neagu, Dragnea – portari; Niţescu, Cl. Popa, E. Năstase, Romaşcanu, Ianuşi, Bădaşcă, Coteanu, Ghenciu, B. Nicola, Tothăzan, Butoi, Irimia, Anton, Tudor, Pâslaru şi Muscă
rested will be Curca(first gk 4/0),Buzea(df 4/0),Florea(df 4/1),Coconascu(mf 4/0),Cretu(mf 4/0),Bolat(mf 4/0),Mansur(mf 4/0),Ivanovici(mf 4/1) and Silvasan(att 4/1)


Montenegro 1 League
Decic - Mogren
pick: 2
odds: 1.57 (bet365)
FT 1-1 pick lost (mogren was better team whole match)

two clubs with totally difference ambitions.
Decic is new promoted club who's target is to stay in league. while Mogren is club who bring many quality players this season and their target is 1st place!

many bettors/punters from Montenegro will agree that Mogren made best job this summer and they are main candidate for title.

Decic is totally shit , after 7 rounds they are still without win (0w-3d-4l). Decic this season will relegate for sure because federation dont want them in first league. In 7 rounds they score only 4 goals (2 of them were vs strong Niksic , those goals were scored in 92min and 93min with too much lucky)

quality on away side and I expect here easy away win.



Serbia Cup
Smederevo - Cukaricki  
pick: 2
odds: 1.73 (bet365) ; 1.80 (betvictor , william hil)

http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/serbia/serbian-cup/smederevo-cukaricki/Awd6dveo/
FT 0-1 pick WON

Smederevo in big financial problems. They relegate last season from Serbia Jelen Liga (best league) and now they are playing in 2nd league.
true Smederevo is club with big history and big stadium but simply now they arent so strong anymore. In last round before few days Teleoptik (partizan's team) let win to Smederevo (also Partizan's team) , odds for away win were 5.25  LINK

Cukaricki is new promoted team in Jelen Liga (best league). They are playing great football , they are stable financial club. Players get wages regular + they have big bonuses for win. Quality is on their side,motivation also.

Smederevo will make rotations , expect easy away win.
GL


______________
usefull infos
Italy
Bologna - Milan
Milan in problems! last season 3 top scorers Balotelli , Pazzini and El Shaarawy are out. Kaka(mf 1/0 new signing),Bonera(df 0/0),De Sciglio(df 0/0),Silvestre(df 0/0) and important mdifler Montolivo(mf 3/0) are also out


France
Valenciennes - PSG 2 @1.4

hosts without Nery(df 2/0),Silva(mf 1/0),Camara(mf 0/0),Bahebeck(att 4/0)
PSG with strongest team!


Greece Cup
PAS Giannina - Aiginaikos
 

Giannina with pretty strong squad!! ((it is very hard to translate the names of players ...))
http://www.pasgiannina.gr/articles/e_apostole_gia_aiginiako here u can check squad , i translate some of the names. key players are in squad.

Holds, Sotirios, Vila(mf 5/1), Michail(df 5/0), Ilic(att 5/1), Harisis, Chavez(mf 5/2), Tsoukalas(mf 5/2), Korovesis(df 5/0), Berio, Roumpoulakou(df 0/0), Skondras, Lila(df 5/0), Struna, Keita(mf 3/0), Vicento(att 1/0 holland), Avgenikou(mf 0/0).
they play good on home ground. they are solid team from top league!!

Aiginaikos is new promoted team in Football League (2nd best league). In previous cup match they pass very hard on extra times vs Anagennisi (average club in Football League)
http://us.soccerway.com/matches/2013/09/15/greece/cup/anagenisi-giannitsa/akadimia-platamona/1591592/


Asteras - Chania
Asteras is playing amazing on home ground in Tripoli! that is their main weapon.
this season on home ground 2w-1d-0l .
Asteras squad; LINK



Olympiakos - Fokkikos
best team from first league vs weak team from 2nd league

Olympiakos with good squad;  http://www.olympiacos.org/article/28159/i-apostoli-gia-ton-fokiko i cant translate the names. 
from players who are called for this match i understand the names of;  Ndinga(mf 1/0),Mitroglou(att 5/6 top scorer),Olaitan(mf 1/0),Roberto(gk 5/0),Meyeri(second gk 0/0), Ibagaza(mf 1/0 key midifler),Campbell(att 4/0),Scepovic(att 0/0) and Papadopoulos(df 0/0) are IN squad.

Fokkikos last season finished on 17th place in 2nd league (5th place from bottom)... they are small club with small stadium, and imo this should be an easy win for Olympiakos.

Monday, September 23, 2013

tuesday picks

 http://thebest22.blogabet.com/ check here my combo bets for today (info for all matches you have here on site)



Colombia Liga Postobon
Millonarios - Atl.Nacional

pick: 1
odds: 2.05 (betvictor , sportingbet , bet at home)
postponed,pick void!

hosts will have advantage because of home field, they have good support from their fans.
Atl.Nacional will use alternate team because of Copa Sudamericana. imo Millonarios is better than Atletico's reserves.


Basketball Rixos Cup
Fenerbahce - Besiktas
pick: Besiktas +3,5ah
odds: 1.85 (bet365)

pick WON!
this is something like frendly match ..

Fener in this match without very important players who played on eurobasket this month.
OUT ARE: McCalebb(13,4ppg),Onan(10,1ppg) , Bogdanovic(13,1ppg) + new players Zoric(11,5ppg from Unicaja),Kleiza(7,4ppg from Toronto [nba]) and Nemanja Bjelica(9,8ppg from Baskonia).
few others are questionable!


___
some usefull infos

France
Marseille - Saint Etienne

Marseille without Morel(df 4/0) and Gignac(att 6/3).
S-E without Perrin(df 5/1),Brison(df 3/0),BGradel(att 0/0) and Brandao(att 2/1).


Germany DFB Pokal
Wolfsburg - Aalen 1 @1.25 good for combo
FT 2-0 pick WON

bundesliga team vs 2 bundesliga team.
Wolfsburg with strongest possible line up!! very strong team called up today by coach!

Aalen without Buballa(df 8/2),Hainault(df 3/0) and Junglas(mf 8/0). also there is big possibility Fejzic(first gk 8/0) to be rested.




1860 Munchen - Dortmund

Dormund without Piszczek,Gundogan and Kehl


England Capital One Cup
Manchester City - Wigan 1 @1.25 good for some combo
FT 4-0 pick WON

Wigan relegate and lost some good players , also they lost great coach Martinez.  today Wigan without Ramis(df 0/0),Caldwell(df 0/0 captain),Holt(att 4/2),Malloney(att 5/3 top scorer),McManaman(mf 4/0) and few other.
Manchester City want revenge because of lose final cup match last season!!


Sunderland - Peterborough
quality on home side , peterborough is 2 leagues lower than sunderland (who is premier league side).

Sunderland still without new coach,di canio was sacked because of bad results. Sunderland have very good team but they are last on table in league now. On this cup match they will use pretty strong team.

Peterborough without Knight-Percival(mf 3/0) and Little(df 6/1), Grant McCann, Gabriel Zaukani and Kgosi Ntlhe are questionable
http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8937864


Swindon - Chelsea 2 @1.35 good for combo
FT 0-2 pick WON

chelsea will use reserves but those reserves are 5 times better than swindon's first team. http://www.teamtalk.com/match/preview/978/8937909

Swindon team from 3rd league, before start of season lost some players because of financial crisis who hit the club. today Swindon miss Ryan Mason(mf 5/4 top scorer) and Ryan Harley(mf 6/0) , Aaron Oakley(df 0/0) (foot) and Tijane Reis(att 2/0) (knee) also out.

monday

Norway
Odd II - Pors Grenland 1 @1.50 (bwin) 
FT 0-2 pick lost

Odd II with BIG help from first team , few experienced and regular first team players will play for B team today!! Shala(mf 24/6),Andersson(att 4/0),Krogsgard(att 12/0),Eriksen(mf 6/0),Jonassen(df 21/0) and Fevang(mf 16/1) are all called up for B team.

Pors Grenland is one average team ...
first match 2/1 Pors 3-2 Odd (ht 1-2) ...
good relationships,teams from same region. now Odd need points + they will have help from first team. I expect easy home win.


Viking II - Egersund
Viking II with help from first team. Lunde(first gk),Ekunde(df),Haugen(mf),Landu Landu(df),Chikere(mf),Nisja(mf),SChulze(mf) and Edmundson(att) are training and playing for first team but today will help to their B team because they desperate need points.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

COOPERATION! Romania

CFR Cluj - Pandurii 1 @2.30
http://www.betexplorer.com/soccer/romania/liga-i/mutual-matches/?home=4KfIhq7B&away=xvpyvF04&where=0

late post I thought match start in 19:30 (when i post match it was already started,sorry)


h2h great!! your question is why last season Pandurii won both matches?? - last season Pandurii won both matches because CFR didnt want to go in europe.
I wrote about that match http://cheguevarapicks.blogspot.com/2013/04/weekend-suspecious-matches.html here , Popcalin also gave us info which was very usefull.

this season CFR will attack on european places so Pandurii will have to give back points to CFR.




sunday picks and infos

Macedonia
Napredok - Pelister
Pelister +0ah @1.93 (bet365) ; 1.90 (sbobet)
FT 1-1 pick void 

last season Napredok was in very bad form whole spring ,they were without win long time and than "whop" they won Pelister ON AWAY GROUND! (it was fixed match , Pelister gave points to Napredok and Napredok stay in league) after that something interesting happen. 
 Dragan Bochevski(ex Napredok coach) is now Pelister's coach,while Gordan Zdravkov(ex Pelister coach) is now Napredok's coach, accident or no!?Pelister play match in relegation play-off vs FK Skopje (and won 1-0) , match was played on neutral ground exactly in Kicevo (Napredok is from Kicevo). Something strange happen…


Together with Goran Zdravkov(new Napredok coach) in Napredok came Pece Korunovski(gk from Pelister) and Toni Veljanovski(mf  from Pelister), while Dragan Bocevski(new Pelister coach) with him bring Goran Pashovski(gk from Napredok)


Pelister now have big ambitions,strong sponsor , lot of money in club , regular salaries , things are going on good way, in last round they win rich Shkendija and now they are on 4th place with 12pts (2 points less than 1st placed Bregalnica).
before 4 days they met Miravci in cup and they won 2-0 , they used mixed team in that match. good news Hristov(mf 5/0 best midifler) and Mojsov(mf 4/0) are back in team!!

the newest signings Vodenicharov(striker) and Kovachev played very good in first two matches,they showed good performances (they even scored goals)!! two very good players for this league.


Napredok in deep shit. it was expected because in their city Kicevo for first time on politic votes mayor is albanian!! and now Napredok (who is ethnical macedonian club) wont have support from city and major..

now it is time for pay back. Napredok should gave back this points to Pelister. I talk with one Napredok's player and he said we are going on draw ... so probably there wont be letting points so I go with safer option.

I expect odds to drop very fast because quality between this two clubs is huuuge!!


Croatia
Osijek - Din.Zagreb 2 @1.4 (bet365)
FT 0-1 pick WON

Dinamo have 2 lost matches in a row so today it is must win match for them! Osijek is Dinamo's team , they are in very good relationships.
Dinamo buy young talents from Osijek, Mamic is in good relationships with Osijek's boss and they always help each other.. Osijek now have big finacnial problems , players are without wages long time, coach left club because of bad atmosfhere and unpaid wages ...
usually Dinamo gave points to Osijek when Osijek needs points but now Dinamo need points and win for their morale.

Osijek without Mikulic(first gk 9/0) , Novakovic(mf 7/1) , Babic , Vitaic(df 5/1) and Skoric(mf 6/0)
expect easy away win.


Greece
Levadiakos - PAS Giannina 1 @2.95 (pinnacle)
FT 2-1 pick WON

good relationships between this two clubs. Levadiakos have very powerfull and suspecious boss who is in very good relationships with federation. Levadiakos wont relegate for sure because of their owner and their big connections. plus they are like brothers clubs with Olympiakos.
today Levadiakos is in must win situation because after 4 rounds they have only 2 points and they are 17th placed (2nd from bottom).
PAS Giannina is not so strong on away ground , last season they score only 14 goals in 15 matches on away ground. ..

Saturday, September 21, 2013

saturday free infos and picks

Bosnia
Olimpik Sarajevo - Gradacac

Olimpik today without some important players like Muharemovic(df 4/0),Regoje(df 7/0),Duric(mf 1/0),Smajic(att 6/0),Vidovic(mf 7/0) and Kapic(att 6/1)

Bulgaria
Chernomorets - Levski 2 @1.85 (sportingbet)
FT 1-3 pick WON

in bulgarian local bookies odds for away win are just 1.20 !!

Slavia - Lyubimets

quality on home side. Slavia have very powerfull owner (Ventsislav!)
Lybimets is new promoted team,they start season very good but their place is in low part of table ... now with 3 lost matches in a row they are going down. two regular players Tawiah(mf 7/1) and Koparanov(df 7/0) are out

Friday, September 20, 2013

weekend (early) bets

21/09 Austria Regionalliga
Neumarkt - Altach(Am)  DNB2 @1.74 (paf)
FT 0-3 pick WON

i was waiting for odds in bet365 and other good bookies like pinnacle,sbo but nothing and odds in bookies who give this match drop a lot ...

Neumarkt have problems with team!!! Coach have big head ache because many players are doubtfull for this match because of flu ... Patrick Mayer(att 9/5 2nd top scorer) und Florian Leitner(att 8/0) are suspended , Christoph Hübl(att 8/6 top scorer) is out for other reasons.
so two top scorers are out for sure , their replacement Leitner also out ... there could be problems in attack ...

altach II is playing pretty good , after 9 matches they have 18pts (just 1 point less than Neumarkt) , no important missings , tomorrow i will try to find will they have help from first team.
https://www.regionalliga.com/at/rl/liga/regionalliga-west/news/neumarkt-gehen-spieler-aus-96016





22/09 Holland
PSV - Ajax  ,  ajax +0,5ah @1.85 (dafabet , 12bet)
PSV lost 5-6 very important players from last season. captain van Bommel(mf 28/6) and Wilfred Bouma(df 23/0) retired. best striker Lens(att 30/15 ,2nd scorer) , Pieters , best player Mertens(winger 29/16 top scorer) , best midifler Strootman(mf 32/5) and best defender Marcelo(df 32/1) left team. Waterman(first gk 29/0) also left club.
now they are in bad form 6 matches without win,
psv without Rekik(df 4/0),Narsingh(att 0/0 ,18/6 ls) and Wijnaldum(mf 6/4 top scorer , 33/14 ls)

Ajax also sold some good players but still they have very good team , they have same defencive line , de Jong and Poulsen stay in club they will control midfield and attack is almost same with Sigjurdsson and Fischer + now they have Bojan Krkic(new signed striker) . good news for them is that de Jong(mf 3/2) is back after injury!

small stakes because it is derby match

20/09 infos and picks

Austria
First Vienna - Hartberg
pick: h
artberg +0ah @2.06 (188bet)  ft 3-0 lost
problems in First Vienna's club!  First Vienna's players and staff didnt get last 2 salaries , some of staff members decide to left club because this is very unprofessional from their side... because of financial problems before start of season First Vienna lost all best players ..

for this match hosts will miss 3 first team players + one bench player , out are: Strapajević(mf 2/0), Ismaili(df 9/0), Rotter(att 8/0) and Miesenböck(mf 8/0)

Hartberg start season pretty good , they are 3rd placed with 15 points after 3 matches. In first match this season vs First Vienna they won easily 4-1
value odds definitely.


Czech
Sparta Praga - Slovacko 1 @1.25 for some combo  
another pick; Sparta -1,5ah @1.80 (dafabet)
FT 4-1 both picks WON
Sparta in amazing form , they are 1st on table with 7w-1d-0l . 21 scored goal in 8 matches .. they are playing open attacking football. no importatn missings today.

Slovacko play pretty bad , maybe problems are the missings. They are without few important players Došek(att 0/0 , last season top scorer 27/13), Hlupík(mf 0/0 , 24/2 last season), Fujerik(mf 1/0), Kuncl(df 5/0), Kuban(df 6/0) and Trousil(df 8/0).

h2h
Head-to-head: Sparta Prague - Slovacko
Gambrinus liga 2012/2013
Sparta PragueSlovacko4:01.434.117.3324.02.2013
SlovackoSparta Prague1:44.663.271.7612.08.2012
Gambrinus liga 2011/2012
Sparta PragueSlovacko1:01.274.9510.5218.02.2012
SlovackoSparta Prague0:25.433.551.6014.08.2011
Gambrinus liga 2010/2011
SlovackoSparta Prague0:24.553.371.7313.11.2010
Sparta PragueSlovacko2:11.264.8910.5024.07.2010
Gambrinus liga 2009/2010
Sparta PragueSlovacko4:01.166.0713.8405.05.2010
SlovackoSparta Prague0:14.503.301.7609.11.2009
like u can see Sparta dont have problems vs Slovacko ... easy home win expected.



Ireland Division 2
Waterford - Wexford 1 @1.55 (188bet)  FT 4-0 pick WON
Waterford have good sponsor and owner and they want promotion. 4 rounds till end of season Waterford must win matches like this vs weaker opponents if they want to play promotion play off.
Wexford is average team,in their squad they have only domestic players (no foreigners) , for this match regular midifler Corke(mf 19/0) is out.
motivation and quality on home side


Czech 2 Division
Zlin - Trinec 
this is one very good cooperation but we have to wait for 2nd match

h2h
Head-to-head: Zlin - Trinec
Division 2 2011/2012
TrinecZlin4:12.513.072.5626.05.2012
ZlinTrinec2:02.053.113.2706.08.2011
Division 2 2010/2011
TrinecZlin2:12.013.113.3407.05.2011
ZlinTrinec1:01.653.404.6102.10.2010
Division 2 2009/2010
ZlinTrinec3:11.334.317.7425.05.2010
TrinecZlin3:12.652.872.5917.10.2009
long time they wasnt in same league (from 2001)

In 2010/11 they made one 2/1 (ht/ft) link
In 2011/12 they met in last round when Trinec was already relegated and they made that match for money 2/1 (ht/fT) link

this year they played one frendly match before start of season link

we should wait for 2nd match here, i would play 1 @1.83 for small stakes or in some combo bet but only for small stakes! FT 3-0 won!